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The Dogecoin price is currently battling to break above the $0.4 price level again, but technical analysis suggests that might not be the only thing that the meme-inspired cryptocurrency is battling. According to technical analysis by crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA), Dogecoin is currently locked in a battle with a key resistance level defined by the macro 0.5 Fibonacci extension, which could determine whether the price can break through to higher levels above $0.4 or face renewed selling pressure.
Moment Of Truth At Macro 0.5 Fibonacci Extension Resistance
The Fibonacci extension indicator is a popular tool among technical analysts to identify price targets and resistance levels. In the case of Dogecoin, crypto analyst Kevin made use of this Fibonacci extension projected from the cryptocurrency’s low of around $0.15 in the middle of October. For Dogecoin, the macro 0.5 Fib extension represents a significant barrier that has held back upward momentum.
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This 0.5 Fib extension is also notable, considering that it is situated around an order block during Dogecoin’s most recent correction. Crypto analyst Kevin highlighted this resistance level as a “moment of truth,” emphasizing that a successful breach of this level is critical for DOGE to aim for the macro golden pocket.
Considering recent market dynamics, Dogecoin’s ability to overcome this resistance will likely hinge on broader market movements, particularly on Bitcoin’s performance.
#Dogecoin is in an all out battle with the macro 0.5 Fib extension. This is big resistance and is the key to make it back up to the macro golden pocket. #DOGE success here is going to fully depend on #BTC ability to breakout of its macro golden pocket. Moment of truth folks. pic.twitter.com/vWtfpVahv1
— Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) January 6, 2025
Bitcoin’s Role in Dogecoin’s Price Momentum
Bitcoin, as the dominant cryptocurrency, mostly always sets the tone for the broader market, including other large market-cap altcoins like Dogecoin. Interestingly, Bitcoin’s inflows and its latest break above the $100,000 price level again in the past 24 hours have flowed into other cryptocurrencies.
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Kevin noted this correlation between Dogecoin and Bitcoin, highlighting that Dogecoin’s movement into its macro golden pocket will depend on Bitcoin’s ability to break out of its own macro golden pocket. If Bitcoin manages to break out of its golden pocket, it could provide the momentum needed for Dogecoin to conquer its 0.5 Fibonacci resistance. However, a failure by Bitcoin could leave Dogecoin vulnerable to further consolidation or even another retracement downwards.
The golden pocket refers to a specific range within the Fibonacci extension levels, typically the area between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fib extension levels. When referred to as a macro golden pocket, it indicates that the Fibonacci indicator is being applied to a larger time frame, such as weekly or monthly charts, and is on long-term price movements. In an earlier analysis, Kevin identified $0.49 as the “macro golden pocket.” Furthermore, he noted that this level is the first major resistance zone that Dogecoin bulls must push above for a bullish breakout.
At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.39, up by 25.5% in the past seven days.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
